Nate Silver
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't
- ISBN 13:
- 9780143125082
- author:
- Nate Silver
- format:
- Paperback
- publisher:
- Penguin Books
- language:
- English
- Publication Year:
- 2015
- Pages:
- 560
- Dimensions:
- 13.9 x 2.9 x 21.4 cm
- Genre:
- Society, Politics & Philosophy, Government & Politics, Political Science & Ideology
- Condition:
- New
- Availability:
- Item usually sent within 2 working days
Description
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't
Nate Silver's groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty reveals how to make better predictions in a world where data is abundant, yet accurate forecasting is often elusive. By examining the work of innovative forecasters across various fields, Silver identifies the key to success: a superior command of probability and a healthy dose of humility.
With its insights into the pandemic, journalism, and polling, this book offers a timely and thought-provoking analysis of the prediction paradox. Silver's work has significant implications for fields ranging from the global economy to the fight against disease, making this a valuable read for anyone looking to improve their understanding of prediction and uncertainty.
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