Silver, Nate
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
- ISBN 13:
- 9780141975658
- author:
- Silver, Nate
- format:
- Paperback
- publisher:
- Penguin
- language:
- English
- Publication Year:
- 2013
- Pages:
- 544
- Dimensions:
- 19.6 x 12.8 x 3.6 cm
- Genre:
- Science & Nature, Mathematics, Popular Maths,
- Condition:
- New
- Availability:
- Item usually sent within 7 working days
Description
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction by Nate Silver In a world where predictions are increasingly important, it's clear that our current methods are often flawed. The author of this book sets out to explore the world of prediction, examining how we can distinguish between true signals and the noise that surrounds them. By investigating the successes and failures of forecasters in various fields, he reveals the key factors that contribute to accurate predictions. From hurricanes to baseball, from poker to the stock market, the author visits innovative forecasters to uncover their methods and insights. He also explores how our own understanding of probability and uncertainty can be improved, leading to better predictions and more informed decision-making. This book offers a unique perspective on the art and science of prediction, and provides practical advice on how to think probabilistically and make more accurate forecasts.
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