Downey, Allen B.

Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

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ISBN 13:
9780226822587
author:
Downey, Allen B.
format:
Hardback
publisher:
The University of Chicago Press
language:
English
Publication Year:
2024
Pages:
256
Dimensions:
23.4 x 16.1 x 1.6 centimetres (0
Genre:
Science, Mathematics, Statistics,
Condition:
New
Availability:
Item usually sent within 7 working days
£16.44

Description

Statistics are everywhere, influencing our understanding of the world. However, people often misunderstand statistics, leading to incorrect conclusions with significant consequences. Allen B. Downey's guide helps you distinguish right from wrong in data interpretation. Downey uses real data and examples to illustrate common pitfalls like the base rate fallacy and Simpson's paradox. He explains how to recognize errors in your own thinking or media reports using data visualizations instead of equations. This approach builds understanding from basics, making it accessible to those new to statistics or looking to refresh their knowledge. By learning to interpret data correctly, you can make better decisions and avoid dubious policy choices. Probably Overthinking It offers a practical introduction to statistical thinking, helping you navigate the world of numbers with confidence.

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