James Franklin
The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal
- ISBN 13:
- 9781421418803
- author:
- James Franklin
- format:
- Paperback
- publisher:
- Johns Hopkins University Press
- language:
- English
- Publication Year:
- 2015
- Pages:
- 520
- Dimensions:
- 15.6 x 2.7 x 23.5 cm
- Genre:
- History, Other Historical Subjects, History of
- Condition:
- New
- Availability:
- Item usually sent within 10 working days
Description
The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal By James Franklin This book explores how people in various fields, including law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic, evaluated evidence and made decisions when certainty was not possible. The author examines the methods used by judges, scientists, and merchants to deal with uncertainty and assess risk. From the weighing of reasons for and against scientific theories to the counting of shipwrecks to determine insurance rates, Franklin reveals how rational methods were developed to cope with uncertainty. He also discusses how these methods evolved over time and how they continue to influence our understanding of risk today. Written in a clear and engaging style, The Science of Conjecture provides a fascinating history of how people have sought to make sense of the unpredictable world around them.
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