Turchin, Peter
Secular Cycles
- ISBN 13:
- 9780691136967
- author:
- Turchin, Peter
- format:
- HardBack
- publisher:
- Princeton University Press
- language:
- English
- Publication Year:
- 2009
- Pages:
- 362
- Dimensions:
- 23.4 x 16.3 x 3 cm
- Genre:
- Economics Human Biology Textbook
- Condition:
- New
- Availability:
- Item usually sent within 10 working days
Description
Secular Cycles explores the dynamics and causal connections between demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov examine how long-term oscillations, or secular cycles, shape historical processes. These cycles manifest in various ways, such as population expansion followed by stagnation, fluctuations in prices mirroring population changes, and states experiencing periods of growth and decline. The authors test a theoretical framework that provides an explanation for these patterns, tracing the dynamics of key variables like population numbers, prices, and elite incomes. By studying societies in medieval and early modern Europe, as well as ancient Rome, Turchin and Nefedov shed light on a specific model of historical change and the utility of dynamical systems approach in historical applications. This book is an indispensable resource for social scientists and historians interested in economic history, sociology, complexity studies, and demography.
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